Latest revision as of 10:39, 20 May 2013

Comparison of MLE and Bayesian Parameter Estimation

for ECE662: Decision Theory

Complement to Lecture 7: Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Bayesian Parameter Estimation, ECE662, Spring 2010, Prof. Boutin

There are two methods for estimating parameters that are the center of a heated debate within the pattern recognition community. These methods are Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Bayesian parameter estimation. Despite the difference in theory between these two methods, they are quite similar when they are applied in practice.

Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Bayesian parameter estimation make very different assumptions. Here the assumptions are contrasted briefly:

• MLE

1) Deterministic (single, non-random) estimate of parameters, theta_ML

2) Determining probability of a new point requires one calculation: P(x|theta)

3) No "prior knowledge"

4) Estimate of variance and other parameters is often biased

5) Overfitting solved with regularization parameters

• Bayes

1) Probabilistic (probability density) estimate of parameters, p(theta | Data)

2) Determining probability of a new point requires integration over the parameter space

3) Prior knowledge is necessary

4) With certain specially-designed priors, leads naturally to unbiased estimate of variance

5) Overfitting is solved by the selection of the prior

In the end, both methods require a parameter to avoid overfitting. The parameter used in Maximum Likelihood Estimation is not as intellectually satisfying, because it does not arise as naturally from the derivation. However, even with Bayesian likelihood it is difficult to justify a given prior. For example, what is a "typical" standard deviation for a Gaussian distribution?

• Comparison table between MLE and BPE

• Illustration of BPE processes

Back to Lecture 7: Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Bayesian Parameter Estimation, ECE662, Spring 2010, Prof. Boutin