The probability of it landing heads the second time, given that it landed heads the first time, is the expected value of the PDF: fQ|H(q). So if you did the problem this way by solving for that PDF, you can solve for the probability by taking the expected value. Expected value remember is:

$ \operatorname{E}(X) = \int_{-\infty}^\infty x f(x)\, \operatorname{d}x . $

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Basic linear algebra uncovers and clarifies very important geometry and algebra.

Dr. Paul Garrett